As a Minnesota sports fan, you know that we rarely get lucky or catch a break and unfortunately for us, the draft lottery is all about getting lucky. Whether it’s the Wild or the T-puppies, it seems like Minnesota never gets the lucky ping pong balls to bounce their way and move up into a top drafting spot. But bad luck can run out… right?

Hopefully for new POBO Gersson Rosas and the Timberwolves, bad luck turns to gold tonight.

The NBA draft lottery will take place at 7:30 pm on ESPN. Just to be clear, no player actually gets drafted this evening. All of the bad teams just find out what spot they will be picking from. The actual NBA draft isn’t until June 20.

The draft lottery can be confusing. Long gone are the days of just throwing 14 giant envelopes into a spinning bulb and rigging the draft for the Knicks… If you want to read up on how everything works, heres a link.

But if you’re just interested in the Timberwolves, let me break it down for you…

  • We hold the 10th selection (66% chance we stay at the 10th spot)
  • We have a 14% chance of receiving a top 4 pick
  • We have a 3% chance of receiving the number 1 pick
  • We CANNOT receive picks 5 through 9
  • Very small chance we drop down to the 11-14 picks
  1. 3.0%
  2. 3.3%
  3. 3.6%
  4. 4.0%
  5. 0%
  6. 0%
  7. 0%
  8. 0%
  9. 0%
  10. 65.9%
  11. 18.9%
  12. 1.2%
  13. Less than 1%
  14. Less than 1%
Grabbing a top 4 spot would be huge in this year’s draft, considering this class is loaded with top-end talent. There are 3 players that are considered to be light-years ahead of everyone else that will be available, and rightfully so. That’s not saying that the rest of the draft class is cabbage. There will definitely be stars grabbed later in the 1st round (as always), they’re just a lot harder to find the lower you go.

One of these top 3 guys in the 2019 draft are more certain to be superstars (especially Zion), and likely to change the landscape of your franchise.

In 21 years of the lottery, the Timberwolves have never moved up from their expected picking spot. To make things worse, they have moved DOWN almost half of those 21 years! Jesus… give me a break. This is one of those things that has nothing to do with how the team/organization is ran, it has everything to do with down right shit luck.

Here’s to crossing our fingers and hoping the shit luck runs out tonight. We’re due… right?

Clem Clemans | Minnesota Sports Fan